The market has started showing its hand.<\/p>\n
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The dollar is heading towards resistance after a controlled rebound, while gold and silver are already reacting \u2013 and not in a bullish favor. This creates a classic setup: One market is hesitating… others are already moving. And usually, it doesn’t last long.
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\n USD (DX.F): Pushing higher… but hitting a wall<\/strong> \n The first thing that stands out on the daily chart is today’s short Bullish Gap (99.40-99.44)<\/strong>Which started the Asian session and is currently acting as very short-term support.\n <\/p>\n Bullish? At first glance, yes. <\/p>\n \n But when we zoom in on the H4…the tone changes. \n From this perspective, we see that the recent rebound has pushed the dollar straight into a key resistance zone, defined by the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the last decline and a very short-term black declining trendline (which can also act as the upper border of a channel or a falling wedge, depending on what happens next).\n <\/p>\n \n When we take the above into account and combine that with the fact that the CCI and Stochastics have already moved into their overbought zones + the price is still trading inside the orange consolidation, and suddenly… the upside movement doesn’t look so open anymore.\n <\/p>\n \n Even if the bulls manage to push a little higher, real control only comes with confirmation:\n <\/p>\n \n in our opinion, only then<\/strong> The road will remain open towards the end of March 16. Until that happens? The setup remains delicate, and the risk of a move back south is very real \u2013 especially if the H4 indicators flip to sell.\n <\/p>\n \n Therefore, if the bulls fail and close the session below the black falling trend line, the bears may move in and push the dollar towards 99 and below in the coming days. \n Gold (GC.F): Breakdown Active <\/strong>\u2192 This section is reserved for <\/em>premium reader<\/em><\/a> Today.<\/em>\n <\/p>\n Silver (SI.F): Bears take control<\/strong><\/p>\n Let’s start this section with a quote from yesterday:<\/p>\n \n “(…) The recovery move brought silver straight into a key resistance group: <\/em>\n <\/p>\n \n At the same time, the indicators are close to generating sell signals and the price has slipped below the lower boundary of the rising wedge, which raises a question: is this strength… or exhaustion? <\/em>\n <\/p>\n \n For bears, the trigger is clear: break below the orange consolidation (7179) + sell signal. If confirmed, the path to the downside opens:<\/em>\n <\/p>\n \n Looking at the above chart we see silver Bears followed the above scenario almost immediately<\/strong>closed below the orange consolidation bottom line on Wednesday, which translated to A fresh bearish gap (7093-7264)<\/strong> At the beginning of the Asian session.\n <\/p>\n \n This kind of price action reduces continuity, and accelerates the realization of the scenario we discussed yesterday. price moved<\/strong> just below the first negative target<\/strong> And This move worked for those who took action on the breakdown<\/strong> (Congratulations!).<\/strong>\n <\/p>\n \n
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