Dollar crosses 100 but the real move hasn’t started yet

We’re starting the week with a clear change in tone.

The dollar has moved above the psychological 100 level, while gold and silver… are hesitant. No turning, no continuing… just waiting. And when markets stop like this, it usually means only one thing: a big decision is coming.

USD (DX.F): Above 100, but a hurdle still matters

The first thing that comes to mind is Today’s Bullish Gap (99.98-100.11)Which pushed the dollar above the 100 level and now acts as immediate support.

Bullish? Yes, technically, it is a strong signal.

But there is still incomplete work. 16 March Bearish Gap (100.25-100.36) Remains open and continues to act as the first major resistance. Therefore, in our opinion, only a daily close above 100.36 confirms real bullish control.

When we take a closer look at the H4 chart, we see another technical correction – the greenback has already broken above the orange consolidation, which suggests continuation (at least as long as this breakout lasts).

If bulls confirm this move with a daily close above the mentioned key resistance, the next logical target could be around 101.30, where the size of the upside move would be equal to the height of the consolidation and where the 138.2% Fibonacci extension is.

However, when we zoom out our charts even further, we see that there is another important resistance area just before 101.30 based on the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement on the weekly chart (100.80) and the bearish gap from May 2025 (100.75-100.95).

This is a serious resistance group, meaning that even if the bulls reach higher levels, it will not be an easy path.

On the other hand, what could happen if they fail to close the day above the nearest interval? Expect a pullback, which will likely translate into a retest of the breakout above 99.96 (the former consolidation top). And this is where the next decision will be taken.

Gold (G.C.F) and Silver (S.I.F) → are reserved for these classes complete analysis Today . And the timing is not random: we are sitting in technical areas that could shape not only tomorrow’s session but the entire week ahead.

main level to view

dollar

resistance: 100.25-100.36 (Red Gap from March 16) / 100.80 (38.2% Fibonacci Retracement) / 100.75-100.95 (Bearish Gap from May 2025) / 101.30 (Potential next upside target)

Help: 99.98-100.11 (Today’s bullish gap) / 100 / Barrier of 99.40-99.46 (Bullish gap since March 26)

Sleep

Supports: (…)

resistance: (…)

silver

Supports: (…)

resistance: (…)

today’s takeaway

dollar: Bullish bias but needs confirmation. Above 100 looks strong -> but 100.36 is the real trigger. Therefore, a break and close above it suggests continuation towards 101+. However, failure -> pullback to at least 99.96.

Sleep:(…)

silver:(…)

execution plan:focus only on Key levels that trigger moves And please confirm the price before entering. If you don’t want to miss the next step while it’s being built – not after it’s already happened – you can trial Premium Lab Notes free for 7 days here:

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Be patient, respect the levels and let the market show its hand before taking new risks.

Anna