According to a new survey, if the elections are held this Sunday, the right-wing party will win
The right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has set a new popularity record and would win a hypothetical election with 28% of the vote, according to a Bild/INSA poll published on Saturday.
According to the survey, Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s Christian Democratic Bloc (CDU/CSU) will get 24% of the vote, one percentage point behind the right-wing party compared to earlier elections. The ruling coalition partner Social Democrats (SPD) maintained a 14% approval rating.
About 11% of the votes will go to parties that fail to reach the threshold to enter parliament, Bild wrote, meaning at least 45% of the remaining votes will be needed for a ruling majority.
Provided that other parties do not form a coalition with the AfD, Merz’s ruling coalition (CDU, CSU, SPD) would need to form a coalition with another party to reach a working majority in the Bundestag, the news outlet said.
The survey, which was conducted April 20-24, included 1,203 respondents who were asked how they would vote if the federal election were held on a Sunday.
Merz’s coalition’s approval ratings have declined steadily since coming to power last May. Critics have accused the chancellor of failing to reverse the decline of the German economy, which is projected to grow by only 0.3% in 2025 and face recession in 2023 and 2024.
A YouGov poll published last week indicates that at least 79% of Germans are dissatisfied with the performance of the ruling government. According to the survey, by mid-April only 34% of CDU/CSU voters were satisfied with their coalition’s performance.
Merz was ranked Europe’s most unpopular leader last week, with a 76% disapproval rating, according to US-based opinion research institute Morning Consult.
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